Curless Curless
中文
01 RETAIL × TRAVEL · AI COMMERCE INDEX

AI Commerce Dashboard

AI-referred traffic is up 13× to 22× in 20 months, it now converts better than other traffic, and the agentic‑payment infrastructure took shape in 14 months — AI is becoming the fastest-growing revenue channel.

01Traffic Growth
+1,324%
AI-referred traffic to retail sites,
cumulative growth since Oct 2024
Adobe · 1T+ visits to US sites · travel sites +2,215% over the same period
02Conversion Lift
+54%
conversion-rate premium of
AI-referred over non-AI traffic
Adobe, 2026-05 · 38% lower in 2025-03
03Purchase Rate
27%
of US consumers have bought
through a link provided by AI
Adobe consumer survey, n=5,000+, 2026-03
04AI-Influenced GMV
$262B
global online holiday sales
influenced by AI in 2025 (20% of total)
Salesforce, 2026-01
05Conversion Trend

AI traffic went from converting 38% worse to 54% better in 14 months

Conversion rate of AI-referred vs. non-AI retail traffic · Adobe Digital Insights

06Sector Ranking

Retail and travel are the two fastest-growing sectors

YoY growth in AI-referred traffic, 2025 holiday season · Adobe (published 2026-01)

55%
of respondents use generative AI for shopping, second only to general research and ahead of writing and codingThe Economist, n=1,924
53%
of travelers would accept a travel option AI recommends. AI advice now shapes the decisionExpedia Group, n=5,700+ (US/UK/India), 2026-04
+60%
lift in purchase completion when shoppers use a commerce agent, with baskets up to 35% largerAnthropic, 2026-09 · company-reported
May 2025
Visa, Google, OpenAI, Mastercard and Stripe have all launched agentic payments. The infrastructure took shape in 14 monthsCompany announcements
02 DEMAND DEPTH

The market open to AI shopping is 2–3× today's users

07Task Ladder

Every shopping task has more would-be users than current ones

Dark = already use, light = would consider · Ipsos Market Essentials, 15 countries, n=8,500, 2026-02 to 2026-04

Already use Would consider
08Trip Planning

Travelers already use AI across the whole trip decision

Adobe (n=5,000+, 2026-03) and Expedia Group (n=5,700+, 2026-04)

AI-referred visits spend 70% longer on page than non-AI visits, the highest of three sectors measured — travelers use AI for in-depth planning, not a quick look. (Adobe, 2026-05)

09Generational Shift

AI adoption is highest among younger shoppers

Share of consumers who shop with AI · Ipsos, 15 countries, n=8,500, 2026

03 SUPPLY SIDE

Demand is here; the supply AI can see is not

10Page Readability

The pages themselves are ready

AI readability score by page type · Adobe Digital Insights, 2026-05

Hotel product pages score 73, the highest of any page type measured — technically AI can already read the product, but readable ≠ transactable.

11Supply Gap

But merchants are not

2026 holiday season · Narvar, “Delivering the 2026 Holiday Shopping Season”

65% of consumers plan to use AI at some point in their holiday shopping, but only 8% of retailers are “very confident” in using AI to improve the experience: an 8× gap. The same survey shows two more gaps in the same direction: 51% of consumers value hassle-free returns, but only 24% of retailers are investing in them; 58% of consumers plan to start shopping early, but 77% of retailers have not responded.

12Brand Visibility

AI already recommends brands by name, but the slots are concentrated

Top 10 domains by GPT-5.2 citation rate · AI Hotel Landscape 2026 (2,500 prompts × 6 models = 19,579 runs across 25 destinations)

Hotel brand sites OTA / aggregator Reference / media
13New Front DoorNEW

AI search is travel’s new front door, but only 6% of hotels get through it

Skift, “Skift Data + AI Summit 2026: 10 Insights From Travel’s AI Frontlines,” 2026-07-01 (Curacity × Skift)

When AI recommends a hotel,
82%
of the content it cites comes from OTAs and established editorial media. Hotels’ own websites rarely make it into AI’s citation pool
Curacity vendor data, published by Skift [E]
Yet of hotels worldwide, only
6%
appear consistently in AI answers. The demand is there; supply has not yet made it into the answers
Curacity vendor data, published by Skift [E]
On the traveler side,
62%
of travelers worldwide are already familiar with AI trip-planning tools. Demand far exceeds the supply AI can see
Skift Research, “State of Travel 2026,” 2026-08-11 [V]

Skift describes AI search as hotels’ new “front door” and a new distribution channel, and notes that it is collapsing marketing, revenue management, distribution and PR into a single discipline.

04 MARKET & BUDGETS

The market is still expanding, and budgets are shifting from traditional channels to AI

14Market Expansion

Global e-commerce is projected to reach $7T in five years

Global e-commerce base market (US$ trillion) · Morgan Stanley estimate

Agentic commerce could expand total e-commerce by about 6% and materially affect about 20% of global e-commerce volume, lifting annual growth from about 7% to 9%. Paraphrased Original report not located.

15Entry-Point Diversification

ChatGPT’s share is falling as Gemini and Claude gain

Share of global generative-AI web traffic · Similarweb

2025-06 2026-05
16Budget Reallocation

AI visibility is becoming a standard brand metric

Budgets are shifting from traditional channels and programs to AI · Vogue Business, “Meet Fashion’s Newest Engagement Metric: AI Visibility,” Amy O’Brien, 2026-09-09

When AI talks about a brand,
89%
of the content it cites is earned media — press coverage, podcasts, Substack, celebrity and influencer reviews, and organic consumer conversation
Launchmetrics, vendor data
Gartner predicts that within a year
×2
PR budgets will double, with most of the increase coming from SEO / SEM budgets
Gartner prediction, cited by Launchmetrics and reported by Vogue Business
When researching products,
34%
of consumers start with AI, not a search engine
Launchmetrics, vendor data